Mike Mazzei for Governor

The Man With a Plan

You heard the debate. A lot of ideas.

But what's the plan?

1

Define Target

22–25% vote share

2

Control Variables

message, frequency, geography

3

Deliver Outcome

runoff position

Polling is the scoreboard.

Execution is the game.

What a Real Plan Looks Like

Typical Campaign

Talk About Issues
Introduce Ideas
General Messaging
Wait for Polling

Execution Framework

1
Define Vote Target
2
Identify Counties
3
Control Exposure
4
Measure Progress
5
Polling Confirms

Path to Runoff

Current Position 14.1%
Target Range 22–25%

+8 POINT GAP

Estimated Voters Needed

90,000

Where Votes Are Won

Oklahoma County

Target: 22,000 • Est: 14,000 • Gain: 8,000

$312,130
Tulsa County

Target: 20,000 • Est: 13,000 • Gain: 7,000

$283,049
Cleveland County

Target: 10,000 • Est: 6,500 • Gain: 3,500

$141,525
Canadian County

Target: 9,000 • Est: 6,000 • Gain: 3,000

$127,372
Comanche County

Target: 8,000 • Est: 5,500 • Gain: 2,500

$113,220
Rogers County

Target: 7,000 • Est: 4,500 • Gain: 2,500

$99,068
Wagoner County

Target: 7,000 • Est: 4,500 • Gain: 2,500

$99,068
Payne County

Target: 7,000 • Est: 4,000 • Gain: 3,000

$99,286
90,000 Voters • 32,000 to Gain • $1,278,718 Budget

Methodology

Budget ranges are modeled by multiplying each county vote target by an estimated cost-per-vote range. This is a scenario-planning tool for internal budgeting only. Actual outcomes depend on turnout, media efficiency, message quality, and opponent activity.

How We Move the Numbers

TV $520,000
Broad Reach

Statewide visibility — establish presence across major markets

Digital $420,000
Frequency

Targeting & repetition — audience-based delivery across channels

Radio $120,000
Regional Reach

Drive-time frequency — reinforce across key regions

Direct Mail $140,000
Recall

Message reinforcement — tangible delivery and retention

Ground Field Operations
Engagement

Peer-to-peer outreach and field presence

Text / Mobile $78,718
Activation

Direct engagement — SMS reminders and GOTV messaging

Total Budget $1,278,718

How Voters Actually Move

High
Low
10+
1

1–2

Awareness

They know you exist

3–5

Recognition

They remember you

6–10

Decision

They choose you

"Winning happens in repetition"

Ideas vs Execution

Ideas

  • Education reform
  • Tax cuts
  • Public safety

Execution

  • Defined targets
  • Measured outcomes
  • Controlled delivery

The difference is not ideas. It's execution.

What Voters Hear

"You heard the debate.
A lot of ideas.

But what's the plan?

Not just what should happen—
how it actually works.

What Hasn't Changed

  • No consolidation in second place
  • No dominant alternative to leader
  • No measurable shift in polling

The structure of the race remains unchanged.

Polling vs Execution

Polling

= Scoreboard

What happened

Execution

= Inputs

What you control

Control the inputs Predict the outcome

Strategic Conclusion

Same Issues

Same Ideas

No Clear Plan

Execution Wins